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Tuesday, February 21, 2012

Microsoft and Apple Taking Different Roads to the Same Future


rating: (50)
Long-time readers of Windows IT Pro UPDATE will recall my simplistic mantra about the future of computing: It's highly mobile and highly connected. But recent moves from the leading OS vendors suggest that this isn't just a pat saying. Instead, both Microsoft and Apple agree on this one thing: It's a strategy.
 
What's interesting is that these two companies have chosen to arrive at the same destination by going in separate directions.
 
Microsoft, the more well-understood of the two strategically, is busy working to get Windows 8 out the door, and the next milestone of that OS, the so-called Consumer Preview, is due next week. With Windows 8, Microsoft is using a touch-centric UI called Metro across all its major platforms -- including Windows client, of course, but also Windows Server, Windows Phone, and the Xbox -- providing them with a sense of cohesiveness and single user experience identity.
 
Technically, of course, these platforms are still somewhat separate, but with NT guru Dave Cutler working on Xbox vNext, as I discussed last week in "With WOA, It's Windows NT All Over Again," one naturally wonders whether the major dissimilarities are coming to an end. (The merging of Windows and Windows Phone will pretty much be finalized in the Windows 8 wave, as I discussed in "Windows Phone in 2012.")
 
But honestly, the technical similarities between these systems (or lack thereof) are almost incidental. And that's because regardless of the underpinnings, these systems will all look and work similarly. The Metro UI came first not from Windows but from Windows Phone, and although it will be overhauled as needed to meet the needs of desktop Windows somewhat, it's a mobile user experience at heart. It begs to be touched and will work best with mobile devices, such as tablets and laptops, and their unholy offspring, touch-capable hybrid laptops.
 
Conceptually, the interesting thing about Windows 8 is that Microsoft has evolved its desktop toolset in very minor ways but has made major changes that reflect a growing market for highly mobile, general-purpose computing devices. (Read: Things that look like but are in fact not iPads.) This is a big bet, and the hope is that consumers who are excited by Windows 8 on iPad-like slate devices will then want Windows Phones as well. I believe this will be a big deal, but that’s for the future to decide.
 
Apple, meanwhile, surprised everyone who's been paying attention to the company by announcing last week that it would rev its Mac OS X system by the end of the summer, less than a year after the previous release. That's amazing because the previous two OS X versions, called Snow Leopard and Lion, were both two years in the making.
 
Some believe, as I do, that the next OS X release, called Mountain Lion, is a reaction to Windows 8, at least from a timing perspective. (And kudos to Apple for almost certainly being able to beat Windows 8 to market.) But if you look at the Mountain Lion feature set, one thing is very obvious: Mountain Lion is a simple continuation of the iPad-ification of OS X that started in Lion. That is, it's the second straight OS X release that's focused almost solely on bringing iOS features to Apple's legacy desktop OS.
 
iOS, of course, is itself an offshoot of OS X, one that was originally designed specifically for the iPhone, the first iOS device and the one that kicked off Apple's current market dominance in highly mobile consumer electronics devices. (The iPod touch and iPad are very clearly just slightly modified versions of the iPhone.)
 
By bringing user experiences and features from the far more popular iOS to OS X, Apple hopes to further bolster a system that has performed strongly but has never broken the 5 percent market share ceiling worldwide. It makes sense. People love iOS devices, and if Apple can get them moved to the Mac, many will become Apple customers for life.
 
What's interesting, to me, is that Apple's strategy for arriving at this highly mobile, highly connected future relies on continuing to separately evolve two different OSs, iOS and OS X, while Microsoft seems intent on integrating its separate platforms into a single, Windows-based codebase. Windows everywhere, indeed.
 
Some guess that Apple will one day combine iOS and OS X into a single OS, and I find that future plausible. In fact, Microsoft's doing it right now with Windows 8. (And kudos to Microsoft for leading, for a change.) Whether Apple eventually goes down this path might depend, somewhat, on how consumers and business users react to having two discrete user experiences -- the touch-happy Metro and the legacy Windows desktop -- in Windows 8. I suspect we'll be able to start opining on that situation soon, with the Consumer Preview, but for now it's an open question.
 
Regardless of your PC platform of choice, one thing is clear. They're both about to be injected with a spate of mobility-inspired technologies and user experiences that will further blur the lines between what we think of today, separately, as PCs and devices. And although I feel this future is inevitable, there are apparently a few different ways to get there.

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  • Posted @ February 23, 2012 07:42 AM by montgomm2

    I am a huge fan of Apple, my iPhone and iPad. However, if Apple ever wants to gain a significant market share (above their current 5%) with OS X/Macs, then they have to bring down the price of buying into the Mac world.

  • Posted @ February 22, 2012 08:16 AM by jabramo

    Interesting article but the fact is that unification of OS across multiple hardware has already been done by Apple Inc and its not Microsoft that is taking the lead on it. The MAC server, iMAC, iPAD, iPHONE. all have a common OS with the same GUI which makes them easier to learn and adapt to. Unifying a same O/S for Microsoft products including servers, workstations, Windows phone and now Tablets 8 means loss of profit with less foot print in the market as oppose to what is now such as Windows 7 with multiple version, Windows server with multiple versions and son on.

    The fact is, Apple Inc. has been a superior in just about everything they have produced. They have the Midas Touch and believe it or not, once you go MAC, you can't go back.

  • Posted @ February 21, 2012 07:12 PM by chuckb84

    "Windows everywhere, indeed."

    Yes, that is the Microsoft strategy in a nutshell. The trouble is that this is not a new strategy and it has failed and failed and failed again in the marketplace. There's precious little evidence that anyone -wants- a "full PC OS" on a tablet or a phone; in fact the evidence is the opposite. Windows on Slate computers is an abysmal failure, iOS without a "real" file browser and numerous other omissions is a huge success.

    Windows 8 is bimodal system, supposedly combining classic Windows and a full computer OS, complete with registry and DLL hell, with a nice swooshy Metro layer. This is supposed to be a simplification that will broaden the audience?

    As SJ famously put it, the sales guy is running Microsoft and he thinks we were, we are and we always will be, in the Windows era.

    Most of what is happening in the computer world suggests that he's wrong.

    The one play that Microsoft has is to bring Office to tablets. They apparently plan to do this, but they are so desperate to generate some relevance that they are going to GIVE AWAY FREE their leading moneymaker software. It is also not at all clear that the complexity of Office can be tamed in a way that makes sense on a tablet.

    Apple's strategy is totally different. Mountain Lion is not so much about iOS features as it is iCloud integration. Instead of "Windows everywhere" this strategy could be called "your data everywhere". It's a totally different vision, not driven by perpetuating sales of legacy software, but by giving users new capabilities.

  • Posted @ February 21, 2012 06:42 PM by IronMikeTyson

    Microsoft still hasn't learned from their last decade of tablet failures, and they're still trying to cram their full desktop OS into a tablet. Are they really counting on MS Office to be the killer tablet app? How many tablet owners buy a tablet in order to type a paper or do spreadsheets? How many people attach a physical keyboard? Almost none. They buy a tablet to free themselves of their desk and work too.

    Even worse, now they're forcing their touch-centric Metro UI onto traditional mouse/keyboard PCs that don't even have touch capability. Way to completely miss the point of tablets, and to alienate your traditional PC users too.

    Paul predicts MS and Apple "takng different roads to the same future" -- but I think that's just wishful thinking on his part. MS and Apple are headed for very different futures, the way things have been going the last five years.

  • Posted @ February 21, 2012 05:29 PM by Wibble

    The only thing in common between Microsoft's Windows 8 on a PC operating system and Windows 8 on a phone operating system will be the name.

    The desktop will run a different Windows interface, albeit messed around a bit (or Metrofied as Microsoft will say) than the phone/tablet. Why, because Windows doesn't work on a tablet. Since 1993 or whenever Microsoft first released pen windows (can't remember the name offhand) it's been horrible. Hence they've sold very few tablets -- or Slates as Paul used to call them.

    There's a reason why Apple ship more iPads in days than Microsoft ever shipped any version of Windows for tablets/slates/whatever.

    It's usability. Not to mention reliability, longevity, small size, simplicity, etc...

    What's easy about Windows?

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